Portfolio Update – Up 1.99% in April 2017

My portfolio balances at close of trading on 28th April were:

Ticker

Price (C$)

Price Change

Percentage

XSP $‎ 27.31

0.96%

22.0%

XMU $‎ 44.87

3.91%

17.8%

XMW $‎ 38.09

3.70%

22.9%

BNS.TO $‎ 75.88

-2.47%

3.4%

BCE.TO $‎ 62.15

5.55%

3.8%

CM.TO $‎ 110.25

-3.85%

3.4%

EMA.TO $‎ 47.25

0.57%

3.4%

ENB.TO $‎ 56.58

1.56%

3.7%

FTS.TO $‎ 44.42

0.79%

3.4%

XBM $‎ 11.83 N/A

2.1%

NA.TO $‎ 53.05

-5.00%

3.5%

PWF.TO $‎ 34.69

-1.36%

3.5%

SJR.B $‎ 28.94

4.97%

3.6%

T.TO $‎ 45.42

28.67%

3.4%

Cash

0.2%

Total

100.0%

Overall my portfolio is up 1.99% since last month. There were no cash contributions this month. For comparison my TI Index is up 0.93%, the DOW is up 1.34% and the TSX is up 0.25%. My investments are up and performed well against the TXS, DOW and TI Index.

Winners this month include BCE (BCE.TO) and Shaw (SJR-B.TO), and my two low-volatility funds – US (XMU.TO) and Global (XMW.TO).

Losers include CIBC (CM.TO) and National Bank (NA.TO).

Screen Shot 2017-05-11 at 7.04.37 PM

Portfolio Update – Up 1.08% in November 2016

My portfolio balances at close of trading on 30th November were:

Ticker

Price (C$)

Price Change

Percentage

XSP $‎ 25.32

3.69%

21.7%

XMU $‎ 40.57

0.85%

17.1%

XMW $‎ 34.95

-1.44%

22.3%

BNS.TO $‎ 74.14

2.86%

3.6%

BCE.TO $‎ 57.89

-5.00%

3.2%

CM.TO $‎ 105.98

5.45%

3.5%

ENB.TO $‎ 56.50

-2.45%

3.3%

NA.TO $‎ 50.32

5.10%

3.6%

POT.TO $‎ 24.50

12.33%

4.0%

PWF.TO $‎ 33.92

7.00%

3.7%

SJR.B $‎ 26.29

-1.09%

3.5%

SXP.TO $‎ 5.13

-10.63%

3.2%

T.TO $‎ 41.96

-3.38%

3.4%

TRP.TO $‎ 60.33

-0.64%

3.4%

Cash

0.5%

Total

100.0%

Overall my portfolio is up 1.08% since last month. There were no cash contributions this month. For comparison my TI Index is up 0.86%, the DOW is up 5.41% and the TSX is up 2.00%. My investments are up and performed well against the TI Index (which contains gold and bonds, both down) but poorly against the TSX and the DOW.

Winners this month include CIBC (CM.TO) up 5.45%, National Bank (NA.TO) up 5.10% and Power Financial (PWF.TO) up 7.00%, and Potash Corp (POT.TO) up 12.33%.

Losers are BCE (BCE.TO) down 5.00%, and Supremex (SXP.TO) down 10.63%.

screen-shot-2016-12-26-at-2-06-51-pm

Beating the TSX (again)

After a year of lacklustre performance by the TSX I have decided to re-apply the BTSX approach. My stocks for 2016 are:

  • Bank of Nova Scotia
  • BCE Inc.
  • Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce
  • Enbridge Inc
  • National Bank of Canada
  • Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan Inc
  • Power Financial Corp
  • Shaw Communications Inc
  • TELUS Corporation
  • TransCanada Corporation

The BTSX system underperformed the TSX by 0.9% last year. The return for the BTSX portfolio was -8.5%. XIU returned -7.6% (both losses). Generally BTSX outperforms the TSX handily.

Portfolio Update – Down 0.82% in January 2015

My portfolio balances at close of trading on 30th January were:

Ticker

Price (C$)

Price Change

Percentage

AGU.TO $ 135.57

23.25%

4.8%

BBD.B $ 2.90

-30.12%

2.6%

BCE.TO $ 58.36

9.53%

4.1%

BMO.TO $ 72.93

-11.26%

3.6%

CM.TO $ 88.18

-11.68%

3.1%

CSU.TO $ 352.09

1.93%

3.6%

CVE.TO $ 24.07

0.42%

3.0%

ENB.TO $ 61.55

3.03%

4.1%

FTS $ 41.91

7.57%

4.6%

HSE $ 27.35

-0.55%

2.7%

MFC.TO $ 20.38

-8.12%

3.7%

NA $ 44.21

-10.58%

3.4%

POT.TO $ 46.26

12.64%

4.1%

POW $ 30.64

-3.53%

3.7%

RCI.B $ 45.18

0.02%

3.5%

RY.TO $ 71.74

-10.59%

3.5%

SJR.B $ 29.34

-6.41%

3.8%

SLF.TO $ 38.86

-7.30%

3.8%

SU.TO $ 37.90

2.71%

3.2%

T.TO $ 43.59

4.06%

3.9%

TCK.B $ 16.45

3.59%

2.4%

SCTY $ 61.69

-0.74%

2.2%

TRP.TO $ 56.54

-0.98%

4.0%

XBB $ 32.84

4.39%

8.1%

XSP $ 22.98

-3.20%

7.1%

Cash

3.2%

Total

100.0%

Overall my portfolio is down 0.82% since last month. There were no cash contributions. For comparison my TI Index is up 0.62%, the DOW is down 3.69% and the TSX is up 0.28%. My investments are down and performed poorly against the TSX.

Winners this month include Agrium (AGU.TO) up 23.25%, BCE (BCE.TO) up 9.53%, Fortis (FTS.TO) up 7.57%, Potash (POT.TO) up 12.64%.

Losers include Bombardier (BBD-B.TO) down 30.12%, CIBC (CM.TO) down 11.68%, Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) down 11.26%, National Bank (NA.TO) down 10.58%, Royal Bank (RY.TO) down 10.59%, Shaw (SJR-B.TO) down 6.41% and Sun Life (SLF.TO) down 7.30%.

It was a very volatile month with many stocks experiencing big gains and many experiencing big losses.  The banks are all down 10% or more.

Screen Shot 2015-02-01 at 7.40.21 PM

Portfolio Update – Up 3.07% in November 2014

My portfolio balances at close of trading on 28th November were:

Ticker

Price (C$)

Price Change

Percentage

AGU.TO $ 110.38

0.10%

3.9%

BBD.B $ 4.36

17.52%

3.9%

BCE.TO $ 53.34

6.57%

3.7%

BMO.TO $ 83.86

2.61%

4.1%

CM.TO $ 106.49

3.50%

3.7%

CSU.TO $ 331.56

4.43%

3.4%

CVE.TO $ 25.67 n/a

3.1%

ENB.TO $ 52.50

-1.56%

3.5%

FTS $ 40.61

10.59%

4.4%

HSE $ 24.18

-11.14%

2.4%

L.TO $ 61.51

4.75%

0.0%

MFC.TO $ 22.77

6.45%

4.1%

NA $ 53.13

0.85%

4.1%

POT.TO $ 39.31

2.18%

3.4%

POW $ 32.43

9.05%

3.8%

RCI.B $ 45.77

8.00%

3.5%

RY.TO $ 83.16

3.94%

4.1%

SJR.B $ 30.87

6.67%

4.0%

SLF.TO $ 42.43

5.84%

4.1%

SU.TO $ 36.11

-9.77%

3.0%

T.TO $ 43.28

7.16%

3.8%

TCK.B $ 17.64

-0.95%

2.5%

SCTY $ 62.86 n/a

2.2%

TRP.TO $ 54.45

-1.98%

3.8%

XBB $ 31.38

1.23%

7.7%

XSP $ 24.01 n/a

7.4%

Cash

2.5%

Total

100.0%

Overall my portfolio is up 12.49% since last month. Excluding cash contributions the portfolio is up 3.07%. For comparison my TI Index is up 2.24%, the DOW is up 2.52% and the TSX is up 0.90%. My investments are up and performed well against all indexes.

Winners this month include Bombardier (BBD-B.TO) up 17.52%, BCE (BCE.TO) up 6.57%, Constellation Software (CSU.TO) up 4.43%, Fortis (FTS.TO) up 10.59%, Manulife (MFC.TO) up 6.45%, Power Corp (POW.TO) up 9.05%, Rogers (RCI-B.TO) up 8.00%, Shaw (SJR-B.TO) up 6.67%, and Telus (T.TO) up 7.16%.

Losers include Husky (HSE.TO) down 11.14%, and Suncor (SU.TO) down 9.77%. Screen Shot 2014-11-30 at 3.48.08 PM

Portfolio Update – Up 1.12% in October 2014

My portfolio balances at close of trading on 31st October were:

Ticker

Price (C$)

Price Change

Percentage

AGU.TO $ 110.27

10.76%

4.3%

BBD.B $ 3.71

-1.59%

3.8%

BCE.TO $ 50.05

4.51%

3.9%

BMO.TO $ 81.73

-0.85%

4.5%

BNS.TO $ 69.02

-0.36%

0.0%

CM.TO $ 102.89

2.29%

4.0%

CSU.TO $ 317.50

12.79%

4.6%

ENB.TO $ 53.33

-0.52%

4.0%

FTS $ 36.72

6.07%

4.5%

HSE $ 27.21

-11.48%

3.0%

L.TO $ 58.72

4.76%

5.1%

MFC.TO $ 21.39

-0.70%

4.3%

NA $ 52.68

3.23%

4.5%

POT.TO $ 38.47

-0.80%

3.8%

POW $ 29.74

-4.31%

4.0%

RCI.B $ 42.38

1.10%

3.7%

RY.TO $ 80.01

-0.05%

4.4%

SJR.B $ 28.94

5.43%

4.2%

SLF.TO $ 40.09

-1.26%

4.4%

SU.TO $ 40.02

-1.26%

3.8%

T.TO $ 40.39

5.62%

4.0%

TCK.B $ 17.81

-16.03%

2.9%

TD.TO $ 55.47

0.36%

0.0%

TRP.TO $ 55.55

-3.69%

4.4%

XBB $ 31.00

0.39%

8.5%

Cash

1.6%

Total

100.0%

Overall my portfolio is up 1.12% since last month. There were no cash contributions. For comparison my TI Index is down 0.26%, the DOW is up 2.04% and the TSX is down 2.32%.

My investments are up and performed well against most indexes, except the DOW.

Winners this month include Agrium (AGU.TO) up 10.76%, BCE (BCE/TO) up4.51%, Constellation Software (CSU.TO) up 12.79%, Fortis (FTS.TO) up 6.07%, Shaw (SJR-B.TO) up 5.43%.

Losers include Husky (HSE.TO) down 11.48%, Power Corp (POW.TO) down 4.31% and Teck Resources (TCK-B.TO) down 16.03%.

Screen Shot 2014-11-01 at 9.30.48 AM

Beating the TSX in 2013

Back in March 2012 I performed an analysis of the Beating the TSX portfolio. I thought it might be time to take another look.  Here is the methodology:

  • Begin with the TSX60 stocks.
  • Remove any stocks with a dividend of less than 3%. This minimizes the number of stocks I need to analyze.
  • Remove any stocks that might have an unsustainable dividend. For this I remove any stock with a payout ratio above 1.2 (equivalent to a coverage of less than 83%). I also remove any former trusts.
  • Finally, select the ten stocks with the highest dividends.

The analysis looks like this:

Screen Shot 2013-02-07 at 7.52.59 PM

The resulting list is as follows.

  1. BCE Inc.
  2. Bank of Montreal
  3. Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce
  4. Power Corporation of Canada
  5. National Bank of Canada
  6. Shaw Communications Inc.
  7. Bank of Nova Scotia (The)
  8. Husky Energy Inc.
  9. Royal Bank of Canada
  10. TELUS Corporation

Interestingly, four of the companies on the earlier list have fallen off as they no longer have a sustainable payout ratio.  These decliners are:

  • Manulife Financial Corporation
  • Sun Life Financial Inc.
  • TransAlta Corporation
  • Thomson Reuters Corporation